Free Tool
Prop Firm Simulator — What Are Your Real Chances of Passing?
Run 500 simulated prop firm evaluations with your strategy stats and see a projected pass rate, average days to pass, a failure-reason breakdown, and a median equity curve with percentile bands.
How to interpret your simulation results
Pass Rate is the share of the 500 simulated evaluations that reached the profit target without breaching a firm limit — the closest approximation to a "real" pass probability for the stats you entered. A 60% pass rate means that across 10 evaluations you'd expect roughly 6 to pass, though variance means any single batch of 10 could land anywhere from 3 to 8.
Avg Days to Pass shows how long the successful runs typically took — useful for budgeting how long to plan for an attempt. If it's longer than 30 days, check whether the firm has a time limit that could push a slow run into the timeout category.
Failure Reason Breakdown shows what's actually killing the failing runs. Mostly daily-limit breaches means max daily loss exposure is too high — tighten the kill switch. Mostly trailing-drawdown breaches means too many losing days early, before any cushion builds. Mostly timeouts means expected daily P&L is too low to reach the target inside 90 trading days.
Equity Curve shows the median path (50th percentile), the 10th percentile, and the 90th percentile across all 500 runs. A wide band between the 10th and 90th shows high variance; a narrow band shows more consistent outcomes.
This simulation draws each trade as an independent event using the probability and dollar values entered. Real trading has correlated market regimes, execution variance, and spread costs this model doesn't capture — treat results as statistical estimates, not guarantees.